POLS 5153
Writing
Assignment Four!
Please answer
the following question in 6-8 pages of double spaced normal font with inch
margins. Assignment is due no later than December 5, 2012.
Question
1
This assignment is very similar as
the previous assignment only now you need to apply your skills to logit
analysis. First, select a data set that will allow you to explore a multiple
logit regression model i.e. a model that includes more than one independent
variable and a dichotomous dependent variable. This might include the factors
that influence why someone votes or votes for a specific candidate, why a
country goes to war or intervenes, or why a court decides the way it did. Write
this up and present it in a standard manner.
In this write
up do the usual things you have to this point, i.e. estimate a model and
discuss the model. Be sure to specify your equation, state your null hypothesis
(same way as in your familiar regression models), the outcome of hypothesis
tests, how well your model fits the data and ultimately what the results of the
analysis tell us, i.e. look at the coe?cients. Discuss some predicted
probabilities for various data points in your data set. For this paper I would
also like you to provide a brief discussion of your results in terms of odds
ratios. This should also include a justification for the final model that
includes a nested likelihood ratio test. Be sure to present this in an
acceptable table. Write it up and submit.